Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold entered Week 18 of the regular season in a position of strength, and despite late-season struggles dampening his momentum, his value remains intact as he approaches free agency. At just 27 years old, Darnold benefits from a lackluster quarterback market in both the draft and free agency, positioning him for a lucrative deal. Industry projections suggest he could secure a contract worth $100–$160 million over three to four years.
ESPN’s Benjamin Solak recently analyzed Darnold’s market, estimating an annual salary of $30–$40 million, though he noted potential caveats. While a four-year, $140 million deal might seem excessive, Solak suggested it could effectively function as a shorter-term agreement—such as two years and $70 million—with team options tied to performance. This ambiguity complicates the Vikings’ strategy, as they weigh whether to re-sign Darnold or lean on rookie J.J. McCarthy, their 2024 first-round pick, under head coach Kevin O’Connell’s proven system.
With limited high-caliber quarterbacks available this offseason, demand for Darnold is expected to surge. Solak identified the Raiders, Steelers, and Giants as potential suitors, while the Titans and Browns (if they avoid drafting a QB) could also enter the mix. The Titans appear more likely, given Cleveland’s hefty financial commitment to Deshaun Watson through 2026.
To avoid losing Darnold without compensation, Minnesota might deploy the franchise tag—costing roughly $40 million—to facilitate a trade rather than retain him. His trade value is estimated between a late second-/third-round pick or a package of mid-round selections (e.g., a fourth- and sixth-rounder). This approach could help the Vikings replenish draft capital, as they currently hold only a first-rounder and two fifth-round picks in 2025. The coming weeks will hinge on how teams balance Darnold’s potential against the risks of his inconsistent track record.
Leave a Reply