While the Minnesota Vikings are open to the idea of bringing Sam Darnold back for another season, the situation is complicated by a few key factors. Both Darnold and the team have expressed mutual interest, but financial and roster concerns are likely to affect any potential reunion.
In a detailed report by Jeremy Fowler of ESPN on January 21, he explains that although Darnold had an impressive 2024 season, throwing for 4,300 yards and 35 touchdowns—his best performance in the NFL—the Vikings are hesitant to commit to a contract extension. The main reasons stem from the presence of J.J. McCarthy, who is still on a relatively cheap rookie contract, and the potential cap space the Vikings could free up to strengthen their roster if they avoid a hefty deal with Darnold.
Fowler also highlights that Darnold’s market is expected to be strong, with at least five teams in the top 10 of the 2025 NFL Draft in need of a quarterback. The Las Vegas Raiders, in particular, are expected to be a major player, having faced a disastrous quarterback situation in 2024. Industry insiders believe Darnold could land a contract similar to Geno Smith or Baker Mayfield’s, with a deal worth around $100 million over three years.
Sam Darnold
Pro Football Focus (PFF) forecasts an even higher market for Darnold, predicting a three-year, $123.75 million contract, with $70 million guaranteed. However, they also note that his overall performance remains inconsistent, particularly with 31 big-time throws but also 21 turnover-worthy plays. Spotrac further projects Darnold could sign a four-year, $160 million deal. Even at the lower end of this range, Darnold would represent significant value compared to other top quarterbacks, such as Dak Prescott, whose $41 million annual salary currently leads the league.
Given these circumstances, Darnold’s future in Minnesota remains uncertain, as the Vikings balance their desire to retain him with the financial realities of their roster construction.
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